trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -6.2% | -15.2% | 33% | 33% | -28.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -6.4% | -15.3% | 44% | 33% | -19.9% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -21.4% | -28.9% | 40% | 33% | -22.5% |
| all | 15 | -21.4% | -28.9% | 40% | 33% | -22.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.9% | 33% | -22.5% |
| 10% | -35.7% | 20% | -29.9% |
| 15% | -41.9% | 20% | -36.7% |
| 20% | -47.6% | 13% | -42.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 70¢ | 94¢ | $70 | $94 | +$24 (+34%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 80¢ | 80¢ | $48 | $48 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 70¢ | 69¢ | $35 | $35 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $32 | $32 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $27 | +$13 | +48% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $9 | −$7 | -81% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $6 | +$9 | +146% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 18 | $61 | −$20 | -34% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $96 | −$16 | -16% |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Jun 08 | $38 | −$38 | -99% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Jun 02 | $55 | +$5 | +10% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $53 | +$37 | +70% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | May 19 | $16 | −$16 | -99% |
| World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia | May 18 | $14 | −$14 | -99% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026? | May 18 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship? | May 18 | $25 | +$5 | +20% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026? | May 15 | $26 | +$4 | +17% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026? | May 15 | $20 | $0 | -0% |