trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -37.7% | -43.6% | 40% | 40% | -44.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -15.7% | -23.7% | 62% | 62% | -23.1% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +26.8% | +14.8% | 86% | 82% | +11.5% |
| all | 29 | +29.0% | +16.7% | 72% | 69% | +3.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +16.7% | 69% | +3.2% |
| 10% | +5.6% | 45% | -6.7% |
| 15% | -4.6% | 31% | -15.7% |
| 20% | -14.0% | 24% | -24.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 90¢ | 96¢ | $30 | $32 | +$2 (+7%) |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | $26 | $26 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? | No | 76¢ | 76¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 81¢ | 62¢ | $24 | $19 | −$5 (-23%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24? | Jun 24 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 24 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 24 | $28 | −$28 | -100% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 24 | $20 | +$6 | +29% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 18 | $22 | +$18 | +83% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | Jun 03 | $20 | +$3 | +15% |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | Jun 03 | $29 | +$9 | +32% |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 26 | $19 | +$3 | +16% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | May 21 | $12 | +$2 | +16% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 21 | $11 | +$6 | +50% |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs | May 21 | $15 | +$7 | +44% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? | May 06 | $16 | +$3 | +20% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 06 | $17 | +$2 | +14% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | May 05 | $21 | +$4 | +19% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | May 05 | $23 | +$2 | +10% |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Apr 22 | $15 | +$28 | +188% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Apr 22 | $20 | +$25 | +124% |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in t | Apr 15 | $13 | +$4 | +33% |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-11? | Apr 15 | $20 | +$13 | +67% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Apr 11 | $13 | +$2 | +12% |
| Celtics vs. Hornets | Apr 11 | $21 | +$19 | +92% |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Mar 29 | $23 | +$6 | +27% |
| LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers Le | Mar 24 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Mar 24 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 20 | Mar 24 | $7 | +$47 | +669% |
| Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Oly | Feb 23 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Win | Feb 23 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Celtics | Feb 18 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims) | Feb 07 | $52 | +$43 | +82% |