Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:11:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3A
0x3ab5…a258
crypto · 79 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$89 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,226 · open −$89
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$78
Realized−$1,226
Unrealized−$89
Win rate (resolved)15%
Wins / losses12 / 66
Est. fees paid−$83
Open positions1
Markets (closed)78 / 79
History coverage8d
Avg bet$256
Trades / day49.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 1 History 78 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$142
7 days−$607
14 days−$1,226
30 days−$1,226
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 50¢ 18¢ $136 $48 −$89 (-65%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 50¢ 100¢ $12 $25 +$12 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-06? No 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? No 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $127 $0 −$127 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-06? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $117 $0 −$117 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $118 $0 −$118 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $2,178 −$276 -13%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $460 −$72 -16%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $487 +$224 +46%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $355 +$72 +20%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $185 $0 +0%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $253 −$116 -46%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $148 −$17 -12%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $241 −$61 -25%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $251 +$105 +42%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $886 −$69 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $156 −$28 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET Jun 11 $150 −$25 -17%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $443 −$84 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2AM ET Jun 11 $258 −$129 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $123 +$8 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $120 −$10 -8%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $1,635 +$521 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET Jun 10 $100 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 10 $110 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET Jun 10 $187 −$44 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Jun 10 $200 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 10 $123 −$11 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5AM ET Jun 10 $200 −$50 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4AM ET Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $1,231 −$186 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ET Jun 09 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7PM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET Jun 08 $200 −$50 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5PM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET Jun 08 $200 +$50 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4PM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2PM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11AM ET Jun 08 $155 −$27 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Jun 08 $200 +$58 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7AM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5AM ET Jun 08 $128 −$14 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4AM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3AM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 08 $411 −$69 -17%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8AM ET Jun 07 $255 −$127 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6AM ET Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 47% −$279
crypto 38% −$850
other 15% −$185
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 83¢ $79 4m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 83¢ $147 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 96¢ $12 42m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 96¢ $64 42m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 89¢ $7 45m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 10¢ $15 45m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 89¢ $103 45m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 90¢ $1 45m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 90¢ $41 45m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 91¢ $82 45m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 9¢ $2 46m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 88¢ $6 47m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 15¢ $22 47m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 87¢ $130 48m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 11¢ $16 49m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 90¢ $135 49m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 6¢ $4 50m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 6¢ $3 50m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 7¢ $3 50m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 6¢ $7 50m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 7¢ $2 50m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 93¢ $34 51m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 94¢ $141 51m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 6¢ $5 52m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 93¢ $118 52m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 13¢ $1 53m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 22¢ $14 53m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 79¢ $108 53m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 79¢ $10 53m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 65¢ $7 56m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 +2.1% -7.6% 15% 11% -18.6%
≤30d 78 +1.4% -8.2% 15% 12% -20.1%
≤90d 78 +1.4% -8.2% 15% 12% -20.1%
all 78 +1.4% -8.2% 15% 12% -20.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 12% -20.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 9% -27.7%
15% -25.0% 6% -34.7%
20% -32.4% 3% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $78.22 · official $72.77 · 757 history records