trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +38.7% | +25.5% | 100% | 100% | +25.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +39.4% | +26.1% | 75% | 75% | +20.5% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +39.2% | +25.9% | 56% | 56% | +0.0% |
| all | 34 | +14.7% | +3.8% | 62% | 35% | -3.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.8% | 35% | -3.0% |
| 10% | -6.1% | 32% | -12.3% |
| 15% | -15.2% | 26% | -20.8% |
| 20% | -23.5% | 21% | -28.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs | Vitality | 71¢ | 70¢ | $120 | $119 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 19 | $166 | +$64 | +39% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 28 | $71 | −$70 | -98% |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | May 24 | $51 | +$84 | +165% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | May 22 | $81 | +$44 | +54% |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | May 18 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $106 | +$17 | +16% |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | May 07 | $146 | −$145 | -100% |
| UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, | May 02 | $61 | −$60 | -98% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | May 02 | $111 | +$72 | +65% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 29 | $30 | +$13 | +44% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 27 | $200 | +$165 | +83% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 22 | $5 | +$36 | +711% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | Apr 18 | $155 | −$14 | -9% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? | Apr 18 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 16 | $40 | −$20 | -50% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Apr 15 | $39 | +$46 | +119% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterd | Mar 29 | $65 | +$45 | +70% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rott | Mar 24 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awa | Mar 16 | $170 | +$54 | +32% |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | Feb 27 | $493 | $0 | -0% |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | Feb 27 | $484 | +$8 | +2% |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | Feb 24 | $467 | +$17 | +4% |
| Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5 | Feb 09 | $158 | −$3 | -2% |
| Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale? | Jan 06 | $464 | +$6 | +1% |
| Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale? | Dec 20 | $431 | +$34 | +8% |
| Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale? | Nov 23 | $319 | +$112 | +35% |
| Will Solana reach $240 in October? | Oct 31 | $200 | +$7 | +4% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October? | Oct 31 | $109 | +$3 | +3% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November? | Feb 16 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson? | Feb 16 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? | Feb 16 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Ethena crash in 2024? | Feb 16 | $23 | $0 | +1% |
| Tether Insolvent in 2024? | Feb 16 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Berachain launch a token in November? | Dec 02 | $25 | +$2 | +8% |