Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:48:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3A
0x3a8f…43eb
crypto · 1222 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$422 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$422 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$422
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses719 / 604
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1323 / 1222
History coverage30d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day92.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 0 History 1323 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,826
7 days−$1,433
14 days−$663
30 days−$422
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% +$1,245
other 20% +$377
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $9 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $9 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $9 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 7m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 7m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 7m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 7m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 21m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 23m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 25m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 25m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 30m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 32m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 32m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 544 -35.7% -41.9% 40% 40% -27.5%
≤30d 1323 -7.3% -16.2% 54% 54% -11.7%
≤90d 1323 -7.3% -16.2% 54% 54% -11.7%
all 1323 -7.3% -16.2% 54% 54% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover92.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 54% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -24.2% 43% -20.2%
15% -31.5% 30% -27.9%
20% -38.2% 22% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records