Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:30:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3A
0x3a79…978d
crypto · 229 markets active 2h ago
1.5score
+$47 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$47 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$47
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses113 / 116
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)229 / 229
History coverage33d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day19.9
Drawdown75%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 229 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days+$70
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 57¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels Athletics 69¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% +$51
crypto 43% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 191 -6.4% -15.3% 49% 40% -10.2%
≤30d 226 -0.3% -9.8% 50% 41% -3.5%
≤90d 229 -0.8% -10.2% 49% 40% -5.9%
all 229 -0.8% -10.2% 49% 40% -5.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.2% 40% -5.9%
10% -18.8% 39% -14.9%
15% -26.7% 37% -23.1%
20% -33.9% 33% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 772 history records