Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T11:00:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3A
0x3a70…76b5
sports · 404 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$2,198 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,265 · open −$67
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$127
Realized+$2,265
Unrealized−$67
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses216 / 245
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$1,499
Open positions1
Markets (closed)461 / 404
History coverage32d
Avg bet$336
Trades / day105.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 1 History 461 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,079
7 days+$2,275
14 days+$1,407
30 days−$115
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Magda Linette 28¢ 18¢ $193 $127 −$67 (-35%)
SS Juve Stabia vs. AC Monza: O/U 3.5 Under 88¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx Atlanta Dream 30¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Zdenek Kolar 41¢ 0¢ $344 $0 −$344 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Foggia: Varvara Lepchenko vs Iryna Shymanovich Iryna Shymanovich 53¢ 0¢ $159 $0 −$159 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Tom Gentzsch 24¢ 0¢ $492 $0 −$492 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5 Under 57¢ 0¢ $916 $0 −$916 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Hurricanes 53¢ 0¢ $370 $0 −$370 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Granada CF vs. Burgos CF end in a draw? Yes 77¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Valorant: TYLOO vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha Jun 13 $179 −$179 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 58% +$4,603
other 30% −$360
crypto 10% −$1,082
weather 1% −$302
finance 0% −$53
politics 0% $0
culture 0% −$10
tech 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 30¢ $26 1h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 28¢ $29 1h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 28¢ $29 1h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 28¢ $114 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? SELL No 19¢ $18 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? BUY No 27¢ $14 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? BUY No 28¢ $13 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? BUY No 28¢ $0 2h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics BUY Toronto Tempo 42¢ $10 10h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics BUY Toronto Tempo 50¢ $102 11h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics BUY Toronto Tempo 47¢ $36 11h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 13¢ $114 18h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 51¢ $61 19h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 51¢ $3 19h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 51¢ $5 19h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 51¢ $10 19h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 51¢ $380 19h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 34¢ $154 19h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 34¢ $8 19h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 34¢ $326 19h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 27¢ $49 19h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 27¢ $1 19h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 27¢ $1 19h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 27¢ $2 19h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 30¢ $61 19h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 30¢ $153 19h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 44¢ $2 19h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 44¢ $1 19h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 44¢ $1 19h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 44¢ $3 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 151 -25.6% -32.6% 32% 21% -2.0%
≤30d 375 -11.0% -19.5% 45% 32% -9.0%
≤90d 461 -10.3% -18.8% 47% 34% -7.5%
all 461 -10.3% -18.8% 47% 34% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover105.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.8% 34% -7.5%
10% ← realistic here -26.6% 30% -16.4%
15% -33.7% 28% -24.4%
20% -40.2% 22% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $126.62 · official $154.00 · 3500 history records