trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -15.9% | -23.9% | 0% | 0% | -20.4% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +179.1% | +152.5% | 44% | 22% | +118.8% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +126.0% | +104.5% | 42% | 17% | +41.3% |
| all | 12 | +126.0% | +104.5% | 42% | 17% | +41.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +104.5% | 17% | +41.3% |
| 10% | +84.9% | 8% | +27.8% |
| 15% | +67.0% | 8% | +15.4% |
| 20% | +50.7% | 8% | +4.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit? | No | 8¢ | 8¢ | $66 | $66 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | Jun 24 | $64 | $0 | +0% |
| Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? | Jun 17 | $39 | −$12 | -32% |
| Game 1: Any Player Rampage? | Jun 11 | $51 | +$964 | +1900% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 10 | $55 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30? | Jun 09 | $31 | −$25 | -81% |
| Spread: Armenia (-2.5) | Jun 06 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $70 | +$7 | +10% |
| Spread: Ghana (-1.5) | Jun 02 | $83 | −$83 | -100% |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? | Jun 02 | $79 | +$10 | +12% |
| Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | Apr 26 | $414 | +$4 | +1% |
| Spread: FC Porto (-2.5) | Apr 09 | $46 | −$46 | -100% |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? | Apr 09 | $301 | −$3 | -1% |