Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:58:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3A
0x3a5d…252f
other · 246 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$85 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$85 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$85
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)2%
Wins / losses4 / 242
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)246 / 246
History coverage123d
Avg bet$189
Trades / day10.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 0 History 246 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$16
14 days−$24
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $197 $0 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 13 $202 −$1 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $99 −$1 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $395 −$1 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $46 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $267 −$1 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $100 $0 -0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Jun 12 $397 −$1 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $452 −$1 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $105 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $217 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $220 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $199 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $636 −$1 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $721 −$1 -0%
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 10 $190 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $356 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $548 −$1 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 09 $323 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $494 −$1 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $154 $0 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $226 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $676 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $279 −$1 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $172 $0 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $111 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $461 −$1 -0%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $48 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $104 $0 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 07 $452 −$1 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $215 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $101 $0 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $54 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 05 $192 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $305 −$1 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 04 $309 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 04 $167 −$1 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 04 $123 −$1 -1%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 03 $144 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $180 $0 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $178 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $105 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 02 $491 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 02 $110 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 01 $135 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $503 −$1 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $369 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $52 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $53 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 29 $216 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% −$38
sports 25% −$21
politics 9% −$10
economics 6% −$5
crypto 5% −$4
culture 5% −$4
world 4% −$3
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $45 1h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $45 2h
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $45 3h
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $46 4h
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 97¢ $46 10h
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 97¢ $46 13h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $46 13h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $46 15h
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $46 19h
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $46 20h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $46 23h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $46 25h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $46 26h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $46 27h
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 98¢ $46 29h
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY No 98¢ $46 31h
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $46 33h
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $46 35h
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $46 36h
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $47 38h
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $47 40h
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $47 42h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $47 43h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $47 44h
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $36 44h
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $11 46h
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 97¢ $47 47h
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 96¢ $47 2d
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 96¢ $47 2d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $47 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 86 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 194 -0.2% -9.7% 2% 0% -9.7%
all 246 -0.2% -9.7% 2% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.4% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1310 history records