trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -18.6% | -26.3% | 25% | 17% | +52.7% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -18.6% | -26.3% | 25% | 17% | +52.7% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -28.8% | -35.6% | 36% | 18% | +19.6% |
| all | 22 | -28.8% | -35.6% | 36% | 18% | +19.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -35.6% | 18% | +19.6% |
| 10% | -41.8% | 14% | +8.1% |
| 15% | -47.4% | 14% | -2.3% |
| 20% | -52.6% | 14% | -11.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Yes | 29¢ | 38¢ | $3 | $4 | +$1 (+33%) |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 21¢ | 20¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 2 New Zealand? | Yes | 14¢ | 13¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Yes | 13¢ | 7¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-50%) |
| Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 3 New Zealand? | Yes | 5¢ | 3¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-29%) |
| Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 2 New Zealand? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 1 New Zealand? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | -18% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 | Jun 14 | $1 | +$2 | +216% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $4 | −$4 | -97% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $12 | +$46 | +372% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5 | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | Apr 03 | $2 | +$1 | +52% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Apr 03 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 01 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | Mar 19 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | Mar 19 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | Mar 19 | $1 | $0 | +7% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Mar 19 | $1 | $0 | +20% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | Mar 18 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | Mar 18 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | Mar 18 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |