Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:40:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3A
0x3a56…b959
crypto · 216 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$205 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$136 · open −$70
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$75
Realized−$136
Unrealized−$70
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses71 / 133
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions12
Markets (closed)204 / 216
History coverage23d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day23.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 12 History 204 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$115
7 days−$56
14 days−$121
30 days−$136
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-5%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on June 12? No 20¢ 25¢ $15 $19 +$4 (+24%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 20¢ 20¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 12? Yes 25¢ 4¢ $15 $2 −$13 (-86%)
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) Michael Chandler 16¢ 16¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? Up 37¢ 4¢ $15 $2 −$13 (-88%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 12? Yes 12¢ 2¢ $10 $1 −$9 (-86%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 12? Yes 22¢ 1¢ $15 $1 −$14 (-94%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$2 (-94%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? No 9¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? No 10¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 10? No 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 +$9 +60%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $31 +$26 +84%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $58 +$66 +114%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 12? Jun 12 $20 +$18 +88%
ITF Zagreb: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Gina Marie Dittmann Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $15 +$13 +82%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Jun 11 $10 −$9 -88%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$30 +295%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? Jun 11 $21 +$33 +162%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$36 +352%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $15 −$15 -98%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $21 +$13 +61%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $29 −$16 -54%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $16 −$15 -94%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $21 −$20 -97%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $15 −$15 -97%
Hapoel Holon BC vs. Maccabi Tel-Aviv Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
ITF Vaasa: Jules Leroux vs Leonardo Rossi Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
ITF Los Angeles: Jerry Roddick vs Evan Bynoe Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Ilkley: Yunchaokete Bu vs Chris Rodesch Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $10 +$8 +78%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $52 +$28 +54%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $10 −$10 -97%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 10? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 10 $15 −$15 -98%
Ilkley: Mimi Xu vs Elizabeth Mandlik Jun 10 $10 −$10 -97%
Ilkley: Taylah Preston vs Harmony Tan Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -94%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 10? Jun 10 $15 −$15 -97%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $10 +$8 +79%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $15 +$15 +96%
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coria Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Iceland win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $16 −$15 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -94%
Will Belarus vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw? Jun 09 $10 +$13 +130%
Will Angola vs. Central African Republic end in a draw? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -97%
Will England vs. Ukraine end in a draw? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $11 +$43 +403%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 9? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -97%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $15 −$15 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 68% −$12
other 13% −$66
finance 10% +$1
sports 8% −$129
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 12? SELL No 57¢ $25 28m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 55¢ $24 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 75¢ $41 1h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 12? SELL No 79¢ $38 1h
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 34¢ $15 2h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 12? BUY No 41¢ $20 2h
ITF Zagreb: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Gina Marie Dittmann BUY Gina Marie Dittmann 12¢ $5 5h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 19¢ $5 5h
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 42¢ $28 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 36¢ $21 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 42¢ $83 6h
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 58¢ $33 7h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $20 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $3 8h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 19¢ $21 8h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 9¢ $21 8h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 15¢ $16 8h
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 26¢ $15 8h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 12? BUY No 34¢ $15 8h
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 22¢ $15 8h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 37¢ $15 9h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on June 12? BUY No 20¢ $15 12h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 12? BUY Yes 25¢ $15 12h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 12? BUY Yes 22¢ $15 13h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 12? BUY Yes 12¢ $10 13h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? SELL No 5¢ $1 20h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 11? SELL No 94¢ $41 21h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? SELL No 69¢ $15 21h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? SELL No 66¢ $39 22h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? BUY No 37¢ $10 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-27.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 -22.6% -30.0% 36% 35% -14.0%
≤30d 204 -20.1% -27.7% 35% 34% -14.9%
≤90d 204 -20.1% -27.7% 35% 34% -14.9%
all 204 -20.1% -27.7% 35% 34% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.7% 34% -14.9%
10% ← realistic here -34.6% 30% -23.0%
15% -40.9% 23% -30.5%
20% -46.7% 16% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $74.73 · official $74.70 (match) · 553 history records