Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:37:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
3A 0x3a4c…6903 crypto 1085 markets active 1h ago coverage 24d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 24d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (90 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$312 (+0%) realized +$312 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate99%1077W / 8L
Whale WR98%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$330per market
Trades / day89.9pace
Kalshi-fit76%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 24d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% +$253
other 13% −$2,806
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (90 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-6.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 540 +2.0% -7.7% 99% 2% -8.7%
≤30d 1085 +3.1% -6.7% 99% 1% -10.2%
≤90d 1085 +3.1% -6.7% 99% 1% -10.2%
all 1085 +3.1% -6.7% 99% 1% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover89.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.7% 1% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -15.6% 1% -18.8%
15% -23.8% 1% -26.7%
20% -31.3% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 98% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +4% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$934 · ×0.0 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.66 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$312
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1077 / 8
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1085 / 1085
History coverage24d ⚠
Avg bet$330
Trades / day89.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1085 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $148 +$4 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $34 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $124 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $150 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $150 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $75 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $150 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $150 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $146 +$5 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $143 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $79 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $148 +$4 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$2 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 16 $11 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $107 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $116 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $85 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $49 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 16 $38 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 16 $49 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $19 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $146 +$6 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 16 $104 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $149 +$3 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $38 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $34 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $148 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $150 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $124 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $75 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $150 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $150 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $146 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $143 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $79 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records