Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:59:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3A
0x3a48…e3a8
sports · 370 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,407 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,146 · open −$287
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$753
Realized−$3,146
Unrealized−$287
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses151 / 205
Est. fees paid−$162
Open positions14
Markets (closed)356 / 370
History coverage9d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day209.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 14 History 356 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,530
7 days−$2,924
14 days−$3,146
30 days−$3,146
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 56¢ 46¢ $240 $199 −$41 (-17%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Robin Montgomery 51¢ 41¢ $181 $146 −$35 (-19%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Celine Naef 74¢ 67¢ $125 $113 −$12 (-9%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Iva Jovic 61¢ 66¢ $101 $110 +$9 (+9%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Daria Snigur 64¢ 59¢ $75 $69 −$6 (-8%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Akasha Urhobo 35¢ 33¢ $50 $47 −$3 (-6%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 77¢ 54¢ $23 $16 −$7 (-30%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Keegan Smith 27¢ 34¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+23%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 40¢ 21¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-47%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Daniel Galan 62¢ 69¢ $5 $5 +$1 (+12%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Katie Swan 46¢ 94¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+105%)
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Frances Tiafoe 97¢ 100¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Darja Vidmanova 82¢ 90¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+10%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 38¢ 34¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-12%)
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Akira Santillan Zsombor Piros 85¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+18%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 83¢ 79¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 97¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Harmony Tan 49¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Jessica Pieri Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 80¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Kimmer Coppejans 69¢ 30¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-56%)
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 37¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+173%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Mattia Bellucci 76¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 92¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+8%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Filip Jianu Alexander Shevchenko 71¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+41%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Mark Lajal 68¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+46%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Jun 12 $3 +$3 +86%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $45 −$3 -6%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $57 +$13 +23%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $187 −$83 -44%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $163 −$19 -12%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $63 +$74 +117%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $4 +$1 +38%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $11 −$8 -71%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $13 +$1 +6%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $283 −$150 -53%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $22 +$25 +109%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $44 −$2 -6%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $394 −$17 -4%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $7 +$1 +19%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $9 −$4 -38%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $6 −$1 -21%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $169 −$13 -8%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $17 −$17 -98%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $277 −$170 -61%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $369 +$133 +36%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $37 −$23 -62%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $102 −$102 -100%
Tucuman: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 11 $7 +$2 +30%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $51 −$3 -5%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Jun 11 $196 +$6 +3%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $630 −$585 -93%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $36 +$13 +35%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $43 −$43 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $301 −$206 -68%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 11 $191 −$6 -3%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $6 −$4 -77%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $29 −$29 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $401 −$2 -1%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Bratislava: Maxim Mrva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 11 $2 $0 +7%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $27 −$27 -98%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Jun 11 $17 +$6 +35%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $11 −$11 -99%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $327 −$154 -47%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $119 −$22 -19%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $7 −$3 -41%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Jun 11 $251 +$189 +75%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabe Jun 11 $3 +$1 +26%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $169 −$28 -16%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $8 −$4 -51%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $11 +$13 +110%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $16 +$4 +23%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $60 −$47 -77%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $297 −$264 -89%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% −$3,391
politics 8% −$5
other 4% −$28
world 1% −$5
tech 0% −$1
economics 0% −$1
culture 0% −$3
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo BUY Celine Naef 74¢ $126 2m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Harmony Tan 49¢ $1 2m
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo BUY Akasha Urhobo 35¢ $51 6m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 97¢ $1 7m
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren SELL Toby Samuel 100¢ $6 11m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi SELL Elizabeth Mandlik 100¢ $287 11m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 38¢ $3 16m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 52¢ $169 16m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 46¢ $2 17m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 41¢ $12 18m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 83¢ $2 20m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 100¢ $173 22m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 48¢ $32 23m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Elizabeth Mandlik 96¢ $77 24m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Elizabeth Mandlik 90¢ $1 24m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 63¢ $79 25m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 60¢ $1 25m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 46¢ $2 27m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 46¢ $19 27m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 42¢ $17 27m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 42¢ $17 27m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 42¢ $16 27m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 42¢ $2 27m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 42¢ $2 27m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 64¢ $74 27m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Elizabeth Mandlik 90¢ $96 28m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Elizabeth Mandlik 90¢ $84 28m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 58¢ $17 29m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal SELL Mark Lajal 100¢ $61 30m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 62¢ $5 31m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)+35.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 318 +57.9% +42.9% 42% 28% -39.2%
≤30d 356 +49.4% +35.2% 42% 27% -39.3%
≤90d 356 +49.4% +35.2% 42% 27% -39.3%
all 356 +49.4% +35.2% 42% 27% -39.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover209.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +35.2% 27% -39.3%
10% ← realistic here +22.2% 18% -45.1%
15% +10.4% 13% -50.4%
20% -0.4% 10% -55.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $752.73 · official $741.45 · 1882 history records