Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:12:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3A
0x3a34…51fa
crypto · 1593 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,565 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,269 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$47
Realized−$2,269
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses1132 / 463
Est. fees paid−$110
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1595 / 1593
History coverage36d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day74.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 2 History 1595 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$264
14 days−$2,083
30 days−$2,228
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 24¢ 32¢ $36 $47 +$11 (+31%)
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic Panna Udvardy 13¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachko Vitaliy Sachko 8¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Makarska: Lucie Havlickova vs Yasmine Kabbaj Lucie Havlickova 40¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Makarska: Noma Noha Akugue vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Noma Noha Akugue 12¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Laura Samson 33¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 8¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 14 $8 +$29 +360%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Modena: Noemi Basiletti vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 09 $109 −$106 -98%
Modena: Jeline Vandromme vs Angela Fita Boluda Jun 08 $58 −$56 -98%
Bratislava: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Tomas Barrios Jun 08 $91 −$89 -98%
Perugia: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrea Pellegrino Jun 06 $90 −$88 -98%
Foggia: Lucia Bronzetti vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 06 $52 −$51 -97%
Makarska: Noma Noha Akugue vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Jun 05 $50 −$48 -97%
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Dabrowski/Stefani Jun 05 $44 −$43 -97%
Fery vs. Hijikata: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 05 $25 +$39 +152%
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 05 $44 −$43 -97%
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Granollers/Zeballos vs Bolelli/Vavassori Jun 05 $35 −$34 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Masarova vs Stoiana Jun 05 $41 −$40 -98%
Birmingham: Taylah Preston vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 05 $39 +$36 +93%
Birmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 05 $87 −$85 -98%
Centurion 2: Alexander Donski vs Tuncay Duran Jun 05 $49 +$129 +262%
Makarska: Akasha Urhobo vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 04 $127 −$124 -98%
Perugia: Luca Nardi vs Remy Bertola Jun 04 $91 −$89 -98%
Makarska: Petra Marcinko vs Barbora Palicova Jun 04 $39 +$278 +718%
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 04 $61 −$59 -97%
Birmingham: Harry Wendelken vs Mark Lajal Jun 04 $56 −$54 -97%
Makarska: Robin Montgomery vs Lea Boskovic Jun 04 $49 +$106 +216%
Prostejov: Taro Daniel vs Damir Dzumhur Jun 04 $152 −$149 -98%
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Dusan Lajovic Jun 04 $78 −$76 -98%
Birmingham: Tatjana Maria vs Rebeka Masarova Jun 04 $90 −$88 -97%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $90 −$88 -97%
Makarska: Lucie Havlickova vs Yasmine Kabbaj Jun 04 $24 −$24 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 04 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 04 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 04 $6 −$6 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Broady vs Aguilar Jun 04 $19 −$19 -100%
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Teichmann (+1.5) Jun 04 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 04 $13 −$13 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Andreeva vs Teichmann Jun 04 $18 −$18 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Viktorija Golubic vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $4 −$4 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Dino Prizmic Jun 04 $9 −$9 -100%
Mirra Andreeva vs. Jil Teichmann: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $26 −$26 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$1 -27%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 04 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 64% −$483
sports 34% −$1,688
other 2% −$80
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 24¢ $37 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell SELL Katie Volynets 99¢ $37 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Katie Volynets 21¢ $8 3h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 33¢ $15 17h
Modena: Noemi Basiletti vs Varvara Lepchenko BUY Noemi Basiletti 12¢ $30 4d
Modena: Noemi Basiletti vs Varvara Lepchenko BUY Noemi Basiletti 18¢ $72 4d
Modena: Noemi Basiletti vs Varvara Lepchenko BUY Noemi Basiletti 18¢ $7 4d
Modena: Jeline Vandromme vs Angela Fita Boluda BUY Angela Fita Boluda 15¢ $37 5d
Modena: Jeline Vandromme vs Angela Fita Boluda BUY Angela Fita Boluda 17¢ $20 5d
Bratislava: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Tomas Barrios BUY Tomas Barrios 9¢ $22 6d
Bratislava: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Tomas Barrios BUY Tomas Barrios 11¢ $36 6d
Bratislava: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Tomas Barrios BUY Tomas Barrios 32¢ $34 6d
Perugia: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrea Pellegrino BUY Andrea Pellegrino 29¢ $20 7d
Foggia: Lucia Bronzetti vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Lucia Bronzetti 2¢ $10 7d
Foggia: Lucia Bronzetti vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Lucia Bronzetti 10¢ $9 7d
Perugia: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrea Pellegrino BUY Andrea Pellegrino 27¢ $19 7d
Perugia: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrea Pellegrino BUY Andrea Pellegrino 27¢ $50 7d
Foggia: Lucia Bronzetti vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Lucia Bronzetti 8¢ $33 7d
Makarska: Noma Noha Akugue vs Sara Sorribes Tormo BUY Noma Noha Akugue 12¢ $50 8d
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Dabrowski/Stefani BUY Dabrowski/Stefani 9¢ $10 9d
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Dabrowski/Stefani BUY Dabrowski/Stefani 9¢ $34 9d
Fery vs. Hijikata: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 SELL Over 100¢ $64 9d
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 9¢ $20 9d
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 7¢ $25 9d
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Granollers/Zeballos vs Bolelli/Vavassori BUY Bolelli/Vavassori 17¢ $15 9d
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Granollers/Zeballos vs Bolelli/Vavassori BUY Bolelli/Vavassori 17¢ $19 9d
Set 1 Winner: Masarova vs Stoiana BUY Stoiana 20¢ $15 9d
Set 1 Winner: Masarova vs Stoiana BUY Stoiana 20¢ $26 9d
Fery vs. Hijikata: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Over 39¢ $10 9d
Birmingham: Taylah Preston vs Ashlyn Krueger SELL Ashlyn Krueger 100¢ $74 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -48.9% -53.7% 11% 11% -89.0%
≤30d 946 -5.3% -14.3% 73% 44% -30.7%
≤90d 1595 -5.1% -14.2% 71% 40% -25.8%
all 1595 -5.1% -14.2% 71% 40% -25.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover74.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 40% -25.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 24% -32.9%
15% -29.9% 14% -39.4%
20% -36.7% 9% -45.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47.01 · official $47.01 (match) · 3500 history records