trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 0% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -0.4% | -9.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 24 | -0.4% | -9.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.8% | 0% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -18.5% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -33.6% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $1,800 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $897 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $897 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 09 | $900 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 04 | $898 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 02 | $1,819 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 31 | $1,074 | −$57 | -5% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 28 | $1,693 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 24 | $910 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 22 | $910 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 20 | $912 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 18 | $914 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 16 | $913 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $1,903 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina | May 12 | $922 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 10 | $919 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 08 | $917 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 04 | $922 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 30 | $925 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 28 | $932 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 22 | $988 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 20 | $989 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 18 | $990 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 16 | $991 | −$1 | -0% |