Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T03:56:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
3A 0x3a04…2be8 sports 5 markets active 1h ago coverage 5d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized +$0 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 5L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5,147per market
Trades / day33.9pace
Fees−$3est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 5 -0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 5 -0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
all 5 -0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover33.9 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 0% -9.5%
10% -18.2% 0% -18.2%
15% ← realistic here -26.1% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
15.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$0 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 5
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage5d
Avg bet$5,147
Trades / day33.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 5 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) Jun 29 $10,201 $0 -0%
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5 Jun 27 $4,397 $0 -0%
Spread: Egypt (-4.5) Jun 26 $5,136 $0 -0%
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5 Jun 26 $3,400 $0 -0%
Spread: Switzerland (-4.5) Jun 24 $2,599 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 19h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 19h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 19h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 19h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 19h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 19h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 19h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 158 history records