Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:19:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3A
0x3a04…4933
crypto · 912 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$248 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$248 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$248
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses408 / 504
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)912 / 912
History coverage19d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day135.5
Drawdown58%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 912 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$79
7 days+$188
14 days+$218
30 days+$248
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$10 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$12 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$13 +215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$21 +214%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$15 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$12 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$275
sports 2% −$25
tech 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 326 +7.8% -2.5% 45% 43% -8.4%
≤30d 912 +2.3% -7.5% 45% 42% -8.4%
≤90d 912 +2.3% -7.5% 45% 42% -8.4%
all 912 +2.3% -7.5% 45% 42% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover135.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.5% 42% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.3% 42% -17.2%
15% -24.4% 40% -25.2%
20% -31.8% 38% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records