Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:11:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3A
0x3a02…a770
sports · 946 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$3,286 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,932 · open −$100
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$66
Realized+$1,932
Unrealized−$100
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses494 / 448
Est. fees paid−$601
Open positions3
Markets (closed)942 / 946
History coverage38d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day65.2
Drawdown69%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 942 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$907
7 days+$662
14 days−$1,139
30 days+$2,232
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 56¢ 100¢ $13 $24 +$10 (+78%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 FlyQuest 38¢ 100¢ $8 $21 +$13 (+163%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Gen.G 65¢ 100¢ $14 $21 +$7 (+54%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner T1 35¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 59¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $14 +$14 +101%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $100 +$197 +197%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $91 +$71 +78%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $14 +$10 +76%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $93 −$93 -100%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $89 +$113 +126%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $89 +$44 +49%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $10 +$3 +29%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $24 −$2 -7%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $24 +$8 +34%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$2 +20%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $24 −$4 -16%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $91 +$403 +445%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $13 +$4 +34%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $22 +$17 +78%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $86 +$174 +203%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $14 +$4 +31%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 $0 +21%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $74 +$25 +33%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $14 +$8 +56%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $13 +$3 +24%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $75 −$75 -100%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $13 +$3 +24%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $13 +$30 +226%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $12 +$13 +109%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $14 +$6 +40%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $14 +$5 +36%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $15 +$17 +119%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $14 −$14 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $14 +$5 +36%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $90 +$12 +13%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $77 −$77 -100%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $14 +$29 +212%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $14 +$4 +27%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $14 −$14 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$1,832
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 59¢ $14 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 35¢ $85 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 35¢ $5 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 35¢ $5 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 59¢ $1 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 65¢ $14 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 56¢ $13 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 49¢ $14 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 33¢ $99 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 31¢ $1 4h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 56¢ $1 13h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 56¢ $12 13h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 56¢ $6 13h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 56¢ $16 13h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 56¢ $12 13h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 56¢ $6 13h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 56¢ $6 14h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 56¢ $0 14h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 56¢ $0 14h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 56¢ $29 14h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 56¢ $0 14h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 58¢ $1 14h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 56¢ $14 15h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 50¢ $14 18h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 50¢ $22 18h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 50¢ $10 18h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 50¢ $36 18h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 50¢ $10 18h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 51¢ $1 18h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner BUY Solary 93¢ $1 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 84 +7.9% -2.3% 61% 58% +9.9%
≤30d 706 +5.5% -4.6% 54% 50% -3.2%
≤90d 942 +2.8% -7.0% 52% 48% -5.3%
all 942 +2.8% -7.0% 52% 48% -5.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover65.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.0% 48% -5.3%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 43% -14.4%
15% -24.0% 37% -22.7%
20% -31.5% 30% -30.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $65.84 · official $65.84 (match) · 3500 history records