Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:45:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

39
0x39fb…1294
crypto · 191 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses188 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)191 / 191
History coverage12d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day15.2
Drawdown81%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 191 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$2
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 50m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 104 -1.1% -10.5% 97% 2% -11.0%
≤30d 191 +0.7% -8.9% 98% 2% -9.0%
≤90d 191 +0.7% -8.9% 98% 2% -9.0%
all 191 +0.7% -8.9% 98% 2% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.9% 2% -9.0%
10% -17.6% 1% -17.7%
15% -25.6% 0% -25.6%
20% -32.9% 0% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 382 history records