Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:40:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

39
0x39f8…56a3
crypto · 615 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses265 / 349
Open positions0
Markets (closed)614 / 615
History coverage40d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day18.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 614 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$146
7 days−$197
14 days−$41
30 days−$131
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$17 +148%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$18 +152%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$23 +190%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$23 +190%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$18 +156%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$13 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$19 +159%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$11 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $12 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $11 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $12 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $12 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $11 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $11 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $12 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $11 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $11 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $11 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $12 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $11 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 298 -8.9% -17.6% 37% 37% -16.2%
≤30d 452 -5.7% -14.7% 40% 40% -12.4%
≤90d 614 -0.7% -10.2% 43% 42% -9.4%
all 614 -0.7% -10.2% 43% 42% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.2% 42% -9.4%
10% -18.8% 41% -18.1%
15% -26.6% 39% -26.0%
20% -33.8% 37% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 979 history records