Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:00:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

39
0x39f0…bd34
other · 236 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$73 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$73 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$73
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses13 / 223
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)236 / 236
History coverage123d
Avg bet$205
Trades / day9.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 0 History 236 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$12
14 days−$23
30 days−$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $212 $0 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $201 −$1 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $274 −$1 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $382 −$1 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $681 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $356 −$1 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $458 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $274 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $132 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $249 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $285 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $431 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $417 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 09 $217 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $286 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $190 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $60 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $436 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $584 −$1 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 07 $270 −$1 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 07 $131 $0 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 06 $60 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 06 $268 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 06 $131 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 05 $128 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 05 $265 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $482 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 04 $308 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $375 −$1 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $62 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $235 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $325 −$1 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 03 $143 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $629 −$1 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 01 $545 −$1 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 01 $137 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 01 $548 −$1 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 01 $267 −$1 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 31 $190 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $276 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $494 −$1 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $556 −$1 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $889 −$1 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 29 $258 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $132 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 28 $212 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 28 $138 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? May 27 $66 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 27 $199 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 26 $215 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 48% −$36
sports 22% −$16
politics 9% −$6
culture 8% −$6
economics 5% −$4
world 4% −$3
crypto 3% −$3
tech 1% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $57 1h
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $57 2h
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 98¢ $57 10h
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $58 12h
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 98¢ $19 14h
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 98¢ $38 16h
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 98¢ $58 18h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $58 19h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $58 20h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $58 26h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $58 27h
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $58 30h
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $58 31h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $58 36h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $58 38h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $58 43h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $58 45h
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $58 46h
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $58 47h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $58 2d
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $58 2d
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $58 2d
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $59 2d
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $59 2d
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $59 2d
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $59 3d
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $59 3d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $59 3d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 93¢ $59 3d
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $59 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 74 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 190 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
all 236 -0.2% -9.7% 6% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1252 history records