Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

39
0x39e5…f2e6
crypto · 25 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$28 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$208 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$208
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses15 / 10
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)25 / 25
History coverage6d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day6.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 0 History 25 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$236
7 days−$208
14 days−$208
30 days−$208
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$10 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$39 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $204 −$200 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $204 +$86 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $202 +$27 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$9 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$8 +33%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $20 +$5 +23%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $20 −$18 -92%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $54 +$8 +14%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$20 +194%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $39 +$6 +16%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 09 $20 +$2 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% −$169
other 17% −$31
politics 2% +$2
sports 1% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $35 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $26 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $64 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $26 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $18 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $104 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $204 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $290 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $204 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $229 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $202 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $25 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 80¢ $25 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 20¢ $10 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $10 7h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 7¢ $2 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -8.2% -16.9% 60% 56% -25.6%
≤30d 25 -8.2% -16.9% 60% 56% -25.6%
≤90d 25 -8.2% -16.9% 60% 56% -25.6%
all 25 -8.2% -16.9% 60% 56% -25.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.9% 56% -25.6%
10% -24.9% 36% -32.7%
15% -32.1% 24% -39.2%
20% -38.8% 16% -45.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 48 history records