trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +82.1% | +64.8% | 100% | 100% | +81.5% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +82.1% | +64.8% | 100% | 100% | +81.5% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +6.3% | -3.8% | 50% | 30% | -51.5% |
| all | 11 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 55% | 27% | -50.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.2% | 27% | -50.9% |
| 10% | -13.4% | 27% | -55.6% |
| 15% | -21.8% | 18% | -59.9% |
| 20% | -29.4% | 18% | -63.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | No | 74¢ | 97¢ | $37 | $48 | +$11 (+31%) |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | Yes | 87¢ | 91¢ | $44 | $46 | +$2 (+5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? AND Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $6 | +$8 | +139% |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $3 | +$1 | +26% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May? | May 18 | $87 | −$2 | -3% |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | May 18 | $85 | −$2 | -2% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Apr 28 | $279 | −$279 | -100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | Apr 19 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April? | Apr 07 | $1 | +$1 | +100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Mar 25 | $69 | $0 | -1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Mar 25 | $66 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 16-22? | Mar 23 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | Mar 19 | $9 | $0 | +1% |