Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:11:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

39
0x39bb…9adf
crypto · 855 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$26 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$26 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses825 / 30
Open positions0
Markets (closed)855 / 855
History coverage10d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day89.5
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 855 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days−$16
14 days+$26
30 days+$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $4 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $4 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 705 -0.2% -9.7% 96% 6% -10.0%
≤30d 855 +1.0% -8.7% 96% 7% -8.9%
≤90d 855 +1.0% -8.7% 96% 7% -8.9%
all 855 +1.0% -8.7% 96% 7% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover89.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 7% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 2% -17.6%
15% -25.4% 1% -25.6%
20% -32.7% 0% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.56 · official $0.00 (match) · 1686 history records