Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:12:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

39
0x39bb…11cd
sports · 1229 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$47 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$48 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized+$48
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1221 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1226 / 1229
History coverage117d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day10.7
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit56%
Chart Positions 3 History 1226 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$0
14 days+$22
30 days+$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the match end in a draw? No 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill? No 99¢ 90¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-9%)
Game 1: Ends in Daytime? Yes 99¢ 90¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Esmir Bajraktarević: 1+ shots on target Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Ismaël Koné: 2+ shots on target Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Park vs. Oh: Total Games O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Park vs. Oh: Total Games O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Polcanova vs. Sato: Total Games O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Armin Gigović: 2+ shots on target Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Second half draw? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Amar Memić: 2+ goals Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC 1 - 2 Drogheda United FC? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill? Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
RCA Zemamra leading at halftime? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-5.5) vs Team Heretics (+5.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs BetBoom Team (+6.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Maric vs. Podoroska: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-9.5) vs SPARTA (+9.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Huergo/Radisic vs. Gorgodze/Karamoko: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs GenOne (+3.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: ONIC (-1.5) vs Geek Fam ID (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will Lando Norris achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Boyer (-1.5) vs Izquierdo (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May? Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Bielinska (-1.5) vs Mi (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Ristic vs. Avanesyan: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Krutykh vs Sakamoto Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Sensano vs. Guevara: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Havlickova vs Hennemann Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Silva vs. Petak: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Teunissen vs. Gokpinar: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Bernet vs. Schlagenhauf: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bielinska vs. Mi: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Cuenin vs. Mashtakov: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
ITF Men Tokyo: Completed Match: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Kosuke Ogura Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Shiraishi vs. Ogura: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Will "Hayley Williams" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Son Heungmin: 4+ shots Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Hwang Heechan: 3+ shots on target Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Tomáš Chorý: 2+ shots on target Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Pavel Šulc: 3+ shots Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Lukáš Provod: 2+ shots Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will Mark Hubbard finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 49% +$10
other 45% +$22
politics 2% +$1
world 2% +$13
weather 1% +$1
tech 1% $0
crypto 0% $0
finance 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Esmir Bajraktarević: 1+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 36m
Ismaël Koné: 2+ shots on target BUY No 98¢ $5 1h
Polcanova vs. Sato: Total Games O/U 3.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 1h
Park vs. Oh: Total Games O/U 4.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 1h
Park vs. Oh: Total Games O/U 3.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 1h
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Game 1: Ends in Daytime? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 1h
Will the match end in a draw? BUY No 99¢ $5 2h
Armin Gigović: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Second half draw? BUY No 100¢ $5 2h
Amar Memić: 2+ goals BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Exact Score: Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC 1 - 2 Drogheda United FC? BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) BUY Spirit 100¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Donstu Esports 100¢ $5 4h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 4h
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill? BUY No 99¢ $5 5h
RCA Zemamra leading at halftime? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 5h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 5h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-5.5) vs Team Heretics (+5.5) BUY Team Vitality 100¢ $5 6h
Maric vs. Podoroska: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 6h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-9.5) vs SPARTA (+9.5) BUY SPARTA 100¢ $5 7h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs BetBoom Team (+6.5) BUY BetBoom Team 100¢ $5 7h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 7h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) BUY Legacy 99¢ $5 7h
Huergo/Radisic vs. Gorgodze/Karamoko: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2.5 99¢ $5 7h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs GenOne (+3.5) BUY GenOne 100¢ $5 8h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 9h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) BUY FUT Esports 100¢ $5 10h
Game Handicap: ONIC (-1.5) vs Geek Fam ID (+1.5) BUY ONIC 100¢ $5 10h
Set Handicap: Boyer (-1.5) vs Izquierdo (+1.5) BUY Izquierdo 100¢ $5 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 330 +0.0% -9.5% 99% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 697 +1.0% -8.6% 100% 1% -8.7%
≤90d 1051 +0.6% -9.0% 100% 1% -8.8%
all 1226 +0.6% -9.0% 100% 1% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.0% 1% -8.8%
10% -17.7% 0% -17.6%
15% -25.6% 0% -25.5%
20% -32.9% 0% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.98 · official $13.98 (match) · 2466 history records