Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:32:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

39
0x39af…cb0d
crypto · 112 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$13 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$12
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)10%
Wins / losses11 / 100
Open positions1
Markets (closed)111 / 112
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day112.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 111 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-83%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$9 +841%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$7 +685%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-25.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 111 -18.1% -25.9% 10% 10% -21.5%
≤30d 111 -18.1% -25.9% 10% 10% -21.5%
≤90d 111 -18.1% -25.9% 10% 10% -21.5%
all 111 -18.1% -25.9% 10% 10% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover112.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.9% 10% -21.5%
10% ← realistic here -33.0% 10% -29.0%
15% -39.5% 10% -35.9%
20% -45.4% 10% -42.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.17 · official $0.17 (match) · 123 history records