Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T08:02:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
39 0x39a4…e174 crypto 2074 markets active 9d ago coverage 5d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 4d only
✗ bot/MM pace (476 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL −$307 (-12%) realized −$307 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -11% what you keep after slip
Net edge-11%after slip
Net WR58%break-even
Win rate61%1021W / 663L
Drawdown84%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day476.1pace
Kalshi-fit81%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 80% +$517
other 20% +$112
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (476 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)+4.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 325 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 1684 +15.7% +4.7% 61% 58% -5.5%
≤90d 1684 +15.7% +4.7% 61% 58% -5.5%
all 1684 +15.7% +4.7% 61% 58% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover476.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +4.7% 58% -5.5%
10% ← realistic here -5.3% 56% -14.6%
15% -14.5% 48% -22.8%
20% -22.9% 43% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +16% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +44% → late -12% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.73 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.12 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$307
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses1021 / 663
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1684 / 2074
History coverage5d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day476.1
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit81%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1684 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 6PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 9AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 2AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 9PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 8d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 8d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 8d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 8d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 8d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 8d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 8d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 8d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 8d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 8d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 8d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 8d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 8d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 8d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 8d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 8d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records