Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:03:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

39
0x3991…2e68
crypto · 326 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$23 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses187 / 139
Open positions0
Markets (closed)326 / 326
History coverage66d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day12.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 326 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$3
14 days+$6
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 31 $1 +$2 +217%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET May 31 $2 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET May 31 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET May 30 $1 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET May 30 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET May 30 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 30 $1 $0 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET May 30 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET May 30 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET May 30 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET May 30 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET May 30 $3 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +4.8% -5.2% 65% 65% -18.9%
≤30d 228 +4.0% -5.9% 57% 55% -12.9%
≤90d 326 +2.3% -7.4% 57% 56% -13.4%
all 326 +2.3% -7.4% 57% 56% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.4% 56% -13.4%
10% -16.3% 51% -21.7%
15% -24.4% 42% -29.3%
20% -31.8% 30% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 959 history records