trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 83% | 17% | -0.7% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -1.9% | -11.3% | 79% | 14% | -0.9% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -1.9% | -11.3% | 79% | 14% | -0.9% |
| all | 24 | -9.7% | -18.3% | 71% | 17% | -17.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.3% | 17% | -17.4% |
| 10% | -26.1% | 8% | -25.3% |
| 15% | -33.3% | 4% | -32.5% |
| 20% | -39.8% | 4% | -39.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 60¢ | 72¢ | $549 | $660 | +$111 (+20%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $400 | $397 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 82¢ | 85¢ | $100 | $104 | +$4 (+4%) |
| Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 86¢ | 88¢ | $100 | $102 | +$2 (+2%) |
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 72¢ | 72¢ | $50 | $50 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $101 | +$4 | +4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? | Jun 13 | $501 | −$350 | -70% |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $51 | +$3 | +5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? | Jun 12 | $11 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 12? | Jun 12 | $50 | +$2 | +3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? | Jun 11 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $51 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? | Jun 11 | $51 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $51 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $51 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? | Jun 10 | $21 | +$3 | +15% |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | Jun 10 | $2,522 | +$669 | +26% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | May 27 | $10 | −$3 | -29% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5PM ET | May 19 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | Dec 05 | $1,000 | −$59 | -6% |
| Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1? | Dec 02 | $284 | −$284 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid win La Liga? | Nov 30 | $242 | +$41 | +17% |
| Will AC Milan win the Serie A? | Nov 30 | $614 | −$614 | -100% |
| Will Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah be the next President of Namibia? | Nov 30 | $599 | +$14 | +2% |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024? | Nov 30 | $1,201 | +$41 | +3% |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | Nov 28 | $1,000 | +$86 | +9% |
| Manchester City wins the Premier League? | Nov 28 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November? | Nov 28 | $1,016 | +$99 | +10% |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson? | Nov 16 | $639 | +$377 | +59% |