Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:08:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

39
0x396c…da01
crypto · 67 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$396 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$413 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$33
Realized+$413
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses40 / 26
Open positions1
Markets (closed)66 / 67
History coverage2d
Avg bet$80
Trades / day116.3
Drawdown77%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 66 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$413
7 days+$413
14 days+$413
30 days+$413
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 50¢ 32¢ $50 $33 −$17 (-35%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$14 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$21 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$12 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $82 +$36 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$22 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$91 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$23 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$9 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $104 +$101 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $105 −$15 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $54 −$53 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$22 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$4 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$43 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$30 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$25 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$7 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$17 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$16 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$39 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$23 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$76 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $105 −$54 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$38 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$71 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $206 −$63 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $457 +$54 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $207 +$137 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$46 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $104 +$101 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$78 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$75 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$28 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $104 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $103 −$98 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% +$350
tech 8% +$70
other 0% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $66 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $52 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $52 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $24 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $26 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $50 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $47 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $51 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $55 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $24 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $20 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $56 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $26 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $26 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $52 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $75 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $52 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $18 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $57 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-4.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 +5.5% -4.6% 61% 58% -2.3%
≤30d 66 +5.5% -4.6% 61% 58% -2.3%
≤90d 66 +5.5% -4.6% 61% 58% -2.3%
all 66 +5.5% -4.6% 61% 58% -2.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover116.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.6% 58% -2.3%
10% ← realistic here -13.7% 52% -11.6%
15% -22.1% 41% -20.1%
20% -29.7% 33% -28.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $32.53 · official $83.58 · 195 history records