trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +4.7% | -5.3% | 40% | 20% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +4.7% | -5.3% | 40% | 20% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +4.7% | -5.3% | 40% | 20% | -9.8% |
| all | 22 | +7.2% | -3.0% | 64% | 14% | -6.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.0% | 14% | -6.2% |
| 10% | -12.3% | 14% | -15.2% |
| 15% | -20.7% | 9% | -23.4% |
| 20% | -28.5% | 9% | -30.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 86¢ | 86¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $41 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 13 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $49 | +$2 | +4% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | Jun 11 | $42 | −$3 | -6% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +9% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on May 23? | May 24 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 17 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Ethereum above $1,900 on April 11? | Apr 13 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Jerome Powell say "Good Afternoon" during the March meeting? | Mar 21 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 55°F or higher on March 18? | Mar 21 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga? | Mar 21 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 17 | $27 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 17 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 17 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 44°F or below on March 18? | Mar 16 | $3 | +$2 | +62% |
| Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 14-21? | Mar 16 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Ethereum above $2,200 on March 14? | Mar 15 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Will egg prices be between $5.75 and $6.00 in February? | Mar 13 | $16 | +$9 | +54% |
| Will Trump sign Bitcoin reserve executive order Friday? | Mar 11 | $16 | $0 | +2% |