Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:42:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

39
0x3969…3696
other · 198 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$23 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses25 / 173
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)198 / 198
History coverage160d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 0 History 198 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 14 $28 $0 +1%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 06 $38 $0 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 29 $168 −$1 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? May 18 $33 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Apr 21 $26 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? Apr 20 $38 $0 -0%
Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5) Apr 20 $35 $0 -1%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Apr 20 $37 $0 -0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 20 $261 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Apr 20 $150 $0 -0%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 19 $107 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? Apr 19 $76 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Apr 19 $128 $0 -0%
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Apr 18 $38 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 18 $90 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? Apr 17 $78 $0 -0%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 17 $107 $0 -0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 17 $223 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Apr 16 $121 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Apr 16 $80 $0 -0%
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? Apr 15 $70 $0 -0%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 15 $112 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Apr 14 $100 $0 -0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 14 $87 $0 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 14 $34 $0 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? Apr 14 $37 $0 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? Apr 14 $34 $0 +0%
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? Apr 13 $36 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 13 $38 $0 +0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 12 $88 $0 +0%
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Apr 12 $30 $0 -0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 12 $33 $0 -0%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 11 $41 $0 -0%
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 11 $41 $0 -0%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Apr 10 $39 $0 +1%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 10 $121 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? Apr 10 $39 $0 +0%
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Apr 10 $123 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Apr 09 $69 $0 -0%
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 09 $40 $0 -0%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 08 $74 $0 -0%
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Apr 08 $173 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April? Apr 08 $37 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Apr 08 $190 −$1 -0%
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Apr 07 $37 −$1 -3%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Apr 07 $249 $0 -0%
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 07 $74 $0 -0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom Apr 06 $31 $0 -0%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 06 $92 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 06 $128 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 28% −$4
sports 26% −$7
other 24% −$3
crypto 9% −$1
economics 5% −$2
culture 4% −$2
finance 3% −$3
world 2% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 99¢ $28 58m
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 98¢ $28 5h
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 97¢ $38 7d
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 97¢ $38 7d
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 92¢ $39 15d
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 92¢ $39 15d
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 96¢ $32 26d
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 96¢ $33 26d
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $25 54d
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $26 54d
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? SELL No 97¢ $38 54d
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? BUY No 97¢ $38 54d
Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5) SELL Crystal Palace FC 94¢ $35 54d
Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5) BUY Crystal Palace FC 95¢ $35 54d
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $37 54d
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $37 54d
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 97¢ $30 54d
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 97¢ $30 55d
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 95¢ $40 55d
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 95¢ $40 55d
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 96¢ $27 55d
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 96¢ $27 55d
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 93¢ $37 55d
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 94¢ $37 55d
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? SELL No 93¢ $32 55d
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? BUY No 93¢ $32 55d
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $37 55d
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $37 56d
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? SELL Yes 96¢ $38 56d
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? BUY Yes 96¢ $38 56d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +0.7% -8.9% 100% 0% -8.9%
≤30d 4 -0.0% -9.6% 25% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 97 -0.3% -9.8% 16% 0% -9.7%
all 198 -0.7% -10.1% 13% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.7% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.6% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 712 history records