trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 62% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 50% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 50% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 27 | -6.1% | -15.1% | 59% | 4% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.1% | 4% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -23.2% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -30.6% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -37.4% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 21 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 20 | $27 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 19 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 13 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 12 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 11 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 10 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jul 23 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 24 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Apr 28 | $2 | $0 | +16% |
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 02 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kentucky win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 31 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Mar 28? | Mar 31 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 27 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 'Snow White' gross more than 49m on opening weekend? | Mar 22 | $15 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 14-21? | Mar 19 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Mar 19 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will 'Novocaine' gross between 9-11m on opening weekend? | Mar 18 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days? | Mar 17 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference? | Mar 17 | $15 | +$1 | +6% |