Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:09:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
39 0x3952…3a62 world 4 markets active 3d ago coverage 95d
RISKYcopy with care world specialist⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$3,629 (-99%) realized −$3,629 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -100% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -100% what you keep after slip
Net edge-100%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 4L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$914per market
Trades / day4.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$998
14 days−$998
30 days−$998
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
world 73% −$2,631
tech 27% −$998
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 4 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -100% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -100% · $-wt -100% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
102.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$907 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

95d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,629
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage95d
Avg bet$914
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 4 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? Jun 12 $1,000 −$998 -100%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? Apr 11 $200 −$200 -100%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? Mar 31 $2,357 −$2,331 -99%
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? Mar 09 $100 −$100 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 0¢ $13 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 0¢ $61 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 0¢ $30 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 0¢ $21 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 1¢ $55 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 1¢ $60 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 1¢ $4 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 1¢ $23 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 1¢ $57 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 1¢ $25 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 1¢ $29 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 1¢ $57 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 1¢ $3 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 1¢ $19 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 413 history records