trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 33% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 23% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 23% | 0% | -10.1% |
| all | 25 | -9.6% | -18.2% | 40% | 4% | -11.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.2% | 4% | -11.1% |
| 10% | -26.0% | 0% | -19.6% |
| 15% | -33.2% | 0% | -27.4% |
| 20% | -39.7% | 0% | -34.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | $42 | $42 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $88 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $22 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $24 | −$2 | -7% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 04 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 03 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 02 | $46 | $0 | -0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 01 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 01 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | May 26 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 26 | $43 | −$1 | -1% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 25 | $44 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Luis Arce win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Dec 15 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July? | Jun 26 | $7 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 23–30? | May 31 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 07 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian electio | Apr 19 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 23 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 36-37°F on March 3? | Mar 03 | $20 | −$10 | -52% |
| Will Trump say 'Mexico' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union? | Mar 03 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Sharks vs. Sabres | Mar 03 | $17 | +$3 | +20% |