trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 17% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 23 | -4.4% | -13.5% | 43% | 30% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.5% | 30% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -21.8% | 22% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -29.4% | 9% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -36.3% | 4% | -33.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USD/CAD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | Jun 22 | $70 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Jun 22 | $70 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 | Jun 22 | $122 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 01 | $140 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | May 01 | $70 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Athletics win the 2026 World Series? | May 01 | $70 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 08 | $304 | $0 | -0% |
| Will CRA win 173+ seats in the Japanese snap election? | Jan 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Apple acquire Mistral by December 31? | Jan 24 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Axiom daily fees above $5M in 2025? | Jan 24 | $3 | +$1 | +24% |
| Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings? | Nov 27 | $2 | +$1 | +37% |
| Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most | Nov 27 | $4 | +$1 | +34% |
| Will Trump sign an NIL executive order by September 1? | Jul 25 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3AM ET | Jul 25 | $6 | +$4 | +71% |
| Will another NBA All Star get traded before the deadline? | Jun 27 | $4 | −$1 | -25% |
| Will Andrew Tate tweet less than 120 times Jan 17-24? | Feb 03 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ding Liren win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship? | Jan 18 | $2 | $0 | +16% |
| Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Dec 11 | $739 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will West Ham vs. Everton end in a draw? | Dec 10 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Annual inflation above 2.4% in October? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +27% |
| Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be proven in Q3 2024? | Oct 29 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| ChatGPT integration with iPhone before October? | Oct 29 | $1 | $0 | +18% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Aug 24 | $548 | −$13 | -2% |