trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -15.6% | -23.6% | 47% | 47% | +0.6% |
| all | 22 | -17.1% | -25.0% | 45% | 45% | -1.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.0% | 45% | -1.5% |
| 10% | -32.2% | 36% | -10.9% |
| 15% | -38.8% | 36% | -19.5% |
| 20% | -44.8% | 32% | -27.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $53 | $30 | −$23 (-44%) |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 17¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $1 | −$9 (-87%) |
| Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 47¢ | 0¢ | $11 | $0 | −$11 (-99%) |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $25 | $0 | −$25 (-100%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Florian Wirtz: 2+ assists | Yes | 48¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Spurs | 12¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 78¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Wirtz: 2+ assists | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $56 | −$5 | -9% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Apr 21 | $6 | +$1 | +22% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? | Apr 19 | $98 | +$84 | +86% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12? | Apr 12 | $19 | +$17 | +89% |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | Mar 22 | $5 | +$3 | +58% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | Mar 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuela | Mar 22 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14? | Mar 22 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | Mar 22 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | Mar 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | Mar 18 | $3 | +$2 | +63% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on Ma | Mar 18 | $4 | +$1 | +20% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | Mar 18 | $3 | +$3 | +103% |
| Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USA | Mar 18 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17? | Mar 17 | $3 | +$7 | +193% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Mar 09 | $3 | +$1 | +42% |
| Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5 | Mar 09 | $3 | +$2 | +78% |
| Bulls vs. Kings | Mar 09 | $3 | −$3 | -86% |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026? | Mar 09 | $3 | −$1 | -47% |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Mar 09 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |