Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:59:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

38
0x38e4…6f2e
other · 243 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$95 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$95 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$95
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses10 / 233
Whale WR (big bets)6%
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)243 / 243
History coverage133d
Avg bet$220
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 0 History 243 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$17
14 days−$28
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $489 −$1 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $181 $0 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $289 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $401 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $170 $0 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $418 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $120 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $361 −$1 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $198 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $563 −$1 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $259 $0 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $288 −$1 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $813 −$1 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 11 $813 −$2 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $353 −$1 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $372 −$1 -0%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $58 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $225 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 09 $341 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $620 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 09 $248 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 08 $177 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $388 −$1 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 08 $59 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $398 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $154 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $215 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $563 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 07 $597 −$1 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $60 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $593 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 05 $103 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 05 $597 −$1 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $464 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $61 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 04 $435 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $130 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $299 −$1 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 03 $364 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 02 $505 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 01 $277 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $372 $0 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 01 $296 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 01 $670 −$1 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 01 $434 −$1 -0%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 31 $63 $0 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 31 $64 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $265 −$1 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? May 31 $307 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? May 30 $219 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 44% −$37
sports 25% −$23
economics 7% −$5
culture 7% −$7
politics 6% −$6
crypto 5% −$6
world 4% −$11
tech 0% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $55 9m
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $55 1h
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $55 3h
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $55 5h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $55 6h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $56 7h
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $56 9h
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $56 11h
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $56 12h
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $56 14h
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $56 18h
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $56 19h
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $56 21h
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $56 23h
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $56 24h
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $56 25h
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $56 30h
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $56 31h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $56 34h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $56 36h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $56 44h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $57 46h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $57 46h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $57 2d
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $57 2d
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $57 2d
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $57 2d
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $57 2d
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $57 2d
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $57 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 67 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 179 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
all 243 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1391 history records