Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T09:06:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
38 0x38c3…e384 crypto 1456 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (492 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$68 (-0%) realized −$68 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate92%1345W / 111L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day492.3pace
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% −$133
other 5% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (492 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1456 -0.4% -9.9% 92% 24% -10.3%
≤30d 1456 -0.4% -9.9% 92% 24% -10.3%
≤90d 1456 -0.4% -9.9% 92% 24% -10.3%
all 1456 -0.4% -9.9% 92% 24% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover492.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 24% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 0% -18.9%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.8%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
67% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$12 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$68
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses1345 / 111
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1456 / 1456
History coverage3d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day492.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1456 Trades
no open positions (53 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 13m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 53m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 54m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 58m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2888 history records