trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +29.4% | +17.1% | 57% | 57% | -27.6% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +14.2% | +3.3% | 53% | 53% | +3.6% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +14.6% | +3.7% | 52% | 52% | +10.3% |
| all | 31 | +5.3% | -4.7% | 55% | 45% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.7% | 45% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -13.8% | 45% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -22.1% | 42% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -29.8% | 42% | -32.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 67¢ | 76¢ | $151 | $173 | +$22 (+15%) |
| Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 55¢ | 60¢ | $150 | $164 | +$14 (+10%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $140 | $152 | +$12 (+9%) |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 62¢ | 46¢ | $150 | $110 | −$41 (-27%) |
| Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 59¢ | 52¢ | $100 | $88 | −$12 (-12%) |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | Yes | 65¢ | 65¢ | $86 | $86 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $100 | $82 | −$18 (-18%) |
| Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 43¢ | 36¢ | $50 | $41 | −$9 (-18%) |
| Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 57¢ | 40¢ | $50 | $36 | −$14 (-29%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $25 | $24 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $8 | $7 | −$1 (-8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $10 | +$8 | +83% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $15 | −$14 | -98% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$14 | +135% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $10 | +$13 | +124% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $41 | −$40 | -99% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$17 | +165% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $28 | +$26 | +92% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $20 | −$17 | -85% |
| Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 06 | $16 | −$15 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $10 | +$14 | +140% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 | Jun 03 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 | Jun 03 | $15 | +$14 | +90% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jun 03 | $101 | +$71 | +70% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $17 | −$16 | -98% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5 | May 07 | $5 | +$4 | +79% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final? | May 06 | $31 | +$39 | +127% |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | May 06 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | Apr 15 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 15 | $6 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | Apr 15 | $15 | +$25 | +165% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifin | Apr 15 | $40 | +$23 | +59% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? | Apr 07 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago | Mar 15 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner | Mar 15 | $95 | +$1 | +1% |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | Mar 14 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG - Map 1 Winner | Mar 13 | $94 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11? | Mar 12 | $75 | +$19 | +25% |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Mar 11 | $37 | +$38 | +103% |
| Mavericks vs. Bulls | Jan 10 | $58 | −$58 | -100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Jan 06 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |