trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -21.1% | -28.7% | 0% | 0% | -28.3% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -21.1% | -28.7% | 0% | 0% | -28.3% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -38.2% | -44.1% | 25% | 12% | -16.3% |
| all | 28 | -20.6% | -28.1% | 46% | 29% | -16.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.1% | 29% | -16.7% |
| 10% | -35.0% | 21% | -24.7% |
| 15% | -41.3% | 14% | -32.0% |
| 20% | -47.0% | 4% | -38.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 40¢ | 24¢ | $186 | $115 | −$71 (-38%) |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 0.5 | Over | 86¢ | 72¢ | $86 | $72 | −$13 (-15%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $50 | −$21 | -41% |
| Spread: United States (-2.5) | Jun 19 | $52 | −$1 | -1% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Apr 24 | $166 | +$67 | +40% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 24? | Apr 23 | $9 | −$9 | -99% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 24? | Apr 23 | $15 | −$14 | -94% |
| Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5 | Apr 14 | $55 | −$6 | -10% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | Apr 07 | $200 | +$14 | +7% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Apr 07 | $155 | −$93 | -60% |
| Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5 | Mar 18 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25? | Mar 18 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5 | Mar 18 | $301 | −$205 | -68% |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) | Mar 18 | $273 | +$105 | +39% |
| Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5 | Mar 18 | $88 | +$12 | +14% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 18? | Mar 18 | $45 | −$5 | -11% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March? | Mar 10 | $74 | −$18 | -24% |
| FC Barcelona vs. FC København: O/U 2.5 | Jan 28 | $35 | +$3 | +10% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21? | Jan 22 | $53 | +$23 | +43% |
| FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5 | Jan 21 | $68 | −$15 | -22% |
| Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5 | Jan 21 | $141 | −$73 | -52% |
| FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5 | Jan 11 | $126 | +$15 | +12% |
| FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 | Jan 11 | $119 | +$6 | +5% |
| Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale? | Jan 10 | $78 | +$42 | +54% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | Dec 30 | $60 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25? | Nov 26 | $29 | +$8 | +28% |
| Will Spain win on 2025-11-18? | Nov 18 | $150 | −$96 | -64% |
| Will Austria win on 2025-11-18? | Nov 18 | $38 | −$17 | -45% |
| Thunder vs. Hornets | Nov 18 | $21 | +$2 | +9% |
| Grizzlies vs. Cavaliers | Nov 16 | $20 | +$6 | +31% |