trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | +236.0% | +204.0% | 38% | 31% | -12.7% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +140.8% | +117.9% | 28% | 20% | -15.9% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +140.8% | +117.9% | 28% | 20% | -15.9% |
| all | 25 | +140.8% | +117.9% | 28% | 20% | -15.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +117.9% | 20% | -15.9% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +97.0% | 12% | -24.0% |
| 15% | +78.0% | 8% | -31.3% |
| 20% | +60.5% | 8% | -38.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $93 | $48 | −$45 (-49%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? | No | 68¢ | 99¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+45%) |
| Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? | Yes | 83¢ | 90¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+8%) |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 70¢ | 72¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Iran close its airspace by July 31? | No | 55¢ | 16¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-70%) |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-99%) |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian | Jun 15 | $3 | $0 | -18% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | Jun 15 | $161 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? | Jun 15 | $146 | +$16 | +11% |
| Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms? | Jun 15 | $197 | −$19 | -10% |
| SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? | Jun 15 | $19 | −$8 | -43% |
| Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Jun 15 | $217 | −$2 | -1% |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026? | Jun 14 | $165 | −$62 | -38% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? | Jun 14 | $632 | +$48 | +8% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 13? | Jun 14 | $70 | −$2 | -3% |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? | Jun 14 | $40 | +$10 | +24% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | Jun 13 | $45 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by August 31? | Jun 12 | $196 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? | Jun 12 | $115 | +$13 | +12% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | Jun 11 | $91 | +$10 | +11% |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? | Jun 11 | $28 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut | Jun 09 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Worst Cup: Fakers FC vs. Infamous FC | Jun 09 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? | Jun 09 | $186 | −$12 | -6% |
| Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Jun 09 | $83 | −$3 | -3% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $50 | +$4 | +8% |
| Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Jun 09 | $85 | −$5 | -6% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? | Jun 08 | $52 | −$2 | -5% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 06 | $71 | −$30 | -42% |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30? | Jun 04 | $45 | $0 | -1% |