trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Magic | 61¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Maduro out in 2025? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Suns vs. Pistons | Suns | 56¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies | Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 64¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tien | Jan 27 | $4 | +$2 | +52% |
| Australian Open Men's: Luciano Darderi vs Jannik Sinner | Jan 26 | $7 | $0 | -1% |
| Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo | Jan 25 | $5 | +$2 | +41% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Jan 22 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Hornets | Jan 22 | $2 | $0 | +10% |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies | Jan 21 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Pistons | Jan 16 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Raptors | Jan 13 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first? | Jan 06 | $5 | −$1 | -13% |
| Heat vs. Knicks | Dec 22 | $1 | $0 | +22% |
| Raptors vs. Nets | Dec 22 | $1 | +$1 | +122% |
| Mavericks vs. 76ers | Dec 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Grizzlies | Dec 21 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Pistons | Dec 21 | $6 | +$1 | +12% |
| Suns vs. Warriors | Dec 21 | $1 | $0 | -50% |
| Spurs vs. Hawks | Dec 20 | $2 | $0 | +22% |
| Canucks vs. Islanders | Dec 20 | $8 | +$1 | +10% |
| Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves | Dec 19 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Chattanooga Mocs vs. Bellarmine Knights | Dec 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Bucks | Dec 19 | $1 | $0 | +43% |
| Clippers vs. Thunder | Dec 19 | $2 | $0 | +8% |
| Heat vs. Nets | Dec 19 | $2 | $0 | +23% |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | Dec 19 | $38 | +$20 | +51% |
| Knicks vs. Pacers | Dec 19 | $4 | −$3 | -70% |
| Old Dominion vs. South Florida | Dec 17 | $2 | $0 | -23% |
| Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs | Dec 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | Dec 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Florida State Seminoles vs. Dayton Flyers | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Canucks vs. Rangers | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Louisville Cardinals vs. Tennessee Volunteers | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | +16% |
| Marist Red Foxes vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | Dec 17 | $2 | $0 | +15% |
| East Texas A&M Lions vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lions | Dec 16 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15? | Dec 16 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Heat | Dec 16 | $9 | +$2 | +23% |
| Pistons vs. Celtics | Dec 16 | $9 | +$4 | +42% |
| Pelicans vs. Bulls | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +47% |
| Lakers vs. Suns | Dec 15 | $3 | +$2 | +72% |
| Kings vs. Timberwolves | Dec 15 | $6 | +$1 | +13% |
| Wizards vs. Pacers | Dec 15 | $1 | +$1 | +100% |
| Ravens vs. Bengals | Dec 15 | $3 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14? | Dec 15 | $8 | +$2 | +25% |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-12-14? | Dec 14 | $4 | $0 | +11% |
| Bills vs. Patriots | Dec 14 | $5 | −$2 | -42% |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-14? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +44% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? | Dec 14 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will UD Almería vs. Burgos CF end in a draw? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | -30% |
| Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw? | Dec 14 | $2 | +$1 | +56% |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-12-14? | Dec 14 | $4 | +$1 | +33% |
| Will Lille OSC win on 2025-12-14? | Dec 14 | $1 | +$1 | +76% |
| Will Málaga CF win on 2025-12-14? | Dec 14 | $2 | +$1 | +26% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 64¢ | $2 | 1h |
| Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tien | BUY Zverev | 66¢ | $4 | 138d |
| Australian Open Men's: Luciano Darderi vs Jannik Sinner | SELL Sinner | 96¢ | $7 | 138d |
| Australian Open Men's: Luciano Darderi vs Jannik Sinner | BUY Sinner | 97¢ | $7 | 139d |
| Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo | BUY Zverev | 71¢ | $5 | 140d |
| Hornets vs. Magic | BUY Magic | 61¢ | $2 | 141d |
| Cavaliers vs. Hornets | BUY Cavaliers | 91¢ | $2 | 142d |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies | BUY Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 64¢ | $3 | 143d |
| Suns vs. Pistons | BUY Suns | 56¢ | $5 | 148d |
| 76ers vs. Raptors | BUY 76ers | 94¢ | $5 | 151d |
| Heat vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 82¢ | $1 | 173d |
| Raptors vs. Nets | BUY Nets | 45¢ | $1 | 173d |
| Suns vs. Warriors | SELL Suns | 20¢ | $0 | 174d |
| Suns vs. Warriors | BUY Suns | 40¢ | $1 | 174d |
| Wizards vs. Grizzlies | BUY Grizzlies | 88¢ | $4 | 174d |
| Hornets vs. Pistons | BUY Pistons | 89¢ | $6 | 174d |
| Mavericks vs. 76ers | BUY Mavericks | 72¢ | $1 | 174d |
| Canucks vs. Islanders | BUY Canucks | 91¢ | $8 | 175d |
| Spurs vs. Hawks | BUY Spurs | 82¢ | $2 | 175d |
| Clippers vs. Thunder | SELL Thunder | 100¢ | $2 | 176d |
| Heat vs. Nets | SELL Heat | 100¢ | $2 | 176d |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | SELL Hornets | 100¢ | $58 | 176d |
| Knicks vs. Pacers | SELL Knicks | 20¢ | $1 | 176d |
| Raptors vs. Bucks | BUY Raptors | 70¢ | $1 | 176d |
| Heat vs. Nets | BUY Heat | 81¢ | $2 | 176d |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | BUY Hornets | 72¢ | $29 | 176d |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | BUY Hornets | 52¢ | $4 | 176d |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | BUY Hornets | 52¢ | $5 | 176d |
| Clippers vs. Thunder | BUY Thunder | 92¢ | $2 | 176d |
| Knicks vs. Pacers | BUY Knicks | 66¢ | $4 | 176d |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 225 | -4.4% | -13.5% | 62% | 55% | -13.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.5% | 55% | -13.0% |
| 10% | -21.8% | 41% | -21.4% |
| 15% | -29.3% | 26% | -29.0% |
| 20% | -36.3% | 16% | -35.9% |