Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:12:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

38
0x3898…bc3a
crypto · 270 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$94 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$94 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$94
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses88 / 206
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)294 / 270
History coverage35d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day24.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 294 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$28
14 days−$34
30 days−$85
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
XRP Up or Down - March 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini Illinois Fighting Illini 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims) Julian Erosa 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card) Israel Adesanya 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Netanyahu out by March 31? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
XRP Up or Down - March 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prel Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Car Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Netanyahu out by March 31? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Solana Up or Down - March 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +1%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$91
sports 7% −$2
other 1% −$1
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $2 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $2 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $2 32h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 32h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $2 32h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 32h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 88¢ $2 32h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 88¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $4 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $1 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $1 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $2 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $4 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $4 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $4 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 -6.8% -15.7% 29% 8% -16.3%
≤30d 268 -8.5% -17.2% 31% 6% -16.2%
≤90d 294 -9.5% -18.1% 30% 6% -16.6%
all 294 -9.5% -18.1% 30% 6% -16.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.1% 6% -16.6%
10% ← realistic here -26.0% 3% -24.6%
15% -33.1% 1% -31.9%
20% -39.7% 1% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 899 history records