trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +15.5% | +4.5% | 100% | 50% | -7.5% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +15.5% | +4.5% | 100% | 50% | -7.5% |
| ≤90d | 37 | +7.6% | -2.7% | 81% | 38% | -9.2% |
| all | 134 | +3.1% | -6.7% | 68% | 51% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.7% | 51% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -15.6% | 39% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -23.8% | 28% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -31.3% | 20% | -33.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $680 | $675 | −$5 (-1%) |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $298 | $299 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 20¢ | $196 | $183 | −$13 (-7%) |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $119 | $119 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $49 | $49 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 81¢ | 92¢ | $20 | $23 | +$3 (+13%) |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $20 | $20 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $794 | +$3 | +0% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $50 | +$15 | +31% |
| Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $4 | +$1 | +18% |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $4 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $5 | $0 | +8% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 18 | $118 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $196 | +$9 | +4% |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 14 | $59 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 07 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Apr 28 | $98 | +$2 | +2% |
| Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5 | Apr 17 | $5 | +$5 | +85% |
| Spread: Suns (-4.5) | Apr 17 | $11 | +$9 | +83% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Apr 17 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 17 | $15,376 | −$15 | -0% |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $15,391 | −$15 | -0% |
| Bulls vs. Wizards | Apr 14 | $30 | +$12 | +42% |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | Apr 04 | $11 | +$9 | +76% |
| Raptors vs. Pistons | Apr 04 | $12 | +$8 | +70% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Clippers | Mar 31 | $34 | −$34 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Rockets | Mar 31 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Clippers vs. Pacers | Mar 31 | $38 | +$12 | +30% |
| Heat vs. Cavaliers | Mar 31 | $33 | +$17 | +52% |
| Pelicans vs. Raptors | Mar 31 | $44 | +$16 | +35% |
| Raptors vs. Clippers | Mar 27 | $13 | +$7 | +59% |
| Lakers vs. Pacers | Mar 27 | $33 | +$7 | +20% |
| Spread: Warriors (-2.5) | Mar 23 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Hawks | Mar 23 | $300 | +$75 | +25% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 23 | $623 | −$1 | -0% |
| Bucks vs. Suns | Mar 21 | $114 | −$114 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Celtics | Mar 21 | $8 | +$2 | +28% |
| Mavericks vs. Pelicans | Mar 21 | $155 | +$55 | +35% |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 16 | $19 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 16 | $20 | $0 | +2% |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awa | Mar 16 | $22 | +$8 | +39% |
| Bucks vs. Hawks | Mar 16 | $40 | +$12 | +30% |
| Spread: Heat (-3.5) | Mar 16 | $30 | +$30 | +100% |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 16 | $9 | +$1 | +15% |
| Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5 | Mar 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Warriors | Mar 14 | $169 | +$76 | +45% |
| Bulls vs. Lakers | Mar 13 | $57 | +$12 | +20% |
| Suns vs. Pacers | Mar 13 | $78 | +$22 | +28% |