Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:17:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

38
0x3885…ca77
crypto · 89 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$20,803 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$22,245 · open +$960
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$24,663
Realized+$22,245
Unrealized+$960
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses50 / 20
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions23
Markets (closed)70 / 89
Avg bet$5,740
Trades / day214.7
Drawdown43%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 23 History 70 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,134
7 days+$13,570
14 days+$22,245
30 days+$22,245
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? No 93¢ 99¢ $10,622 $11,371 +$749 (+7%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 13? Yes 97¢ 100¢ $4,875 $5,038 +$164 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Yes 90¢ 100¢ $4,255 $4,725 +$470 (+11%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? Yes 80¢ 100¢ $2,085 $2,591 +$505 (+24%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Yes 7¢ 4¢ $361 $213 −$149 (-41%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16? No 85¢ 87¢ $203 $209 +$6 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? Yes 6¢ 10¢ $94 $141 +$47 (+50%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? No 82¢ 80¢ $110 $109 −$2 (-2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 15? No 12¢ 2¢ $644 $91 −$554 (-86%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? No 76¢ 78¢ $27 $27 +$1 (+3%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 13? No 92¢ 98¢ $23 $25 +$2 (+7%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? Yes 88¢ 95¢ $22 $24 +$2 (+8%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 14? No 91¢ 98¢ $20 $22 +$2 (+8%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 12? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $115 $20 −$95 (-83%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 15? No 89¢ 98¢ $16 $18 +$2 (+10%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 14? No 8¢ 1¢ $166 $15 −$151 (-91%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? No 6¢ 4¢ $21 $15 −$6 (-27%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 16? No 5¢ 2¢ $18 $6 −$12 (-66%)
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 13? Yes 14¢ 6¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-59%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 16? Yes 95¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Yes 12¢ 2¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-87%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 12? No 2¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-98%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2? No 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 1? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 1? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29? Jun 12 $1,337 +$1,483 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30? Jun 12 $14,370 −$15,322 -107%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 31? Jun 12 $171 −$171 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,022 −$65 -6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $67 +$2 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $8,475 +$4,422 +52%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $13,992 +$1,337 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $15,633 +$2,178 +14%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 10? Jun 10 $58 +$3 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $61 +$2 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $20,274 +$1,496 +7%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 9? Jun 09 $1 $0 +12%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 9? Jun 09 $13 +$1 +7%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on June 9? Jun 09 $19 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down on June 9? Jun 08 $62 −$60 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $1,170 +$89 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $28,518 +$2,877 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $17,263 −$29 -0%
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on June 8? Jun 08 $5 $0 +4%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 8? Jun 08 $3,423 −$958 -28%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 8? Jun 08 $93 +$8 +9%
Will the price of Solana be above $30 on June 8? Jun 08 $5 $0 +4%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 9? Jun 08 $265 +$90 +34%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 10? Jun 08 $57 −$8 -15%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? Jun 08 $11,114 +$5,667 +51%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 11? Jun 08 $9 −$9 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $1,806 +$168 +9%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 7? Jun 07 $12 +$1 +12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $7,075 +$7,954 +112%
Will the price of Solana be above $30 on June 7? Jun 07 $5 $0 +6%
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on June 7? Jun 07 $5 $0 +6%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on June 7? Jun 07 $5 $0 +6%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 7? Jun 07 $584 +$1,095 +188%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $9,591 +$363 +4%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 6? Jun 06 $154 +$411 +267%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 6? Jun 06 $28 +$3 +9%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 6? Jun 06 $17 +$4 +24%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? Jun 05 $1,138 +$560 +49%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7? Jun 05 $1,131 +$500 +44%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 5? Jun 05 $27 +$4 +15%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $6,142 +$772 +13%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $34,781 −$1,335 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $751 +$36 +5%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 5? Jun 05 $45 +$2 +4%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 5? Jun 05 $4,464 −$1,419 -32%
Solana Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $115 −$113 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $53,759 −$6,099 -11%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 4? Jun 04 $5,320 +$1,395 +26%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $17,844 +$2,481 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$37,217
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 96¢ $2,444 16m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 11¢ $24 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 88¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 88¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 88¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 88¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? BUY No 76¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? BUY No 76¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? BUY No 76¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? BUY No 82¢ $112 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? BUY No 78¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? BUY No 76¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? BUY No 76¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? BUY No 76¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? BUY No 76¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 88¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 16? BUY No 2¢ $0 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? BUY No 78¢ $1 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? BUY No 85¢ $831 10h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 16? BUY No 3¢ $6 10h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 7¢ $335 10h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY No 4¢ $0 11h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $68 12h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 24¢ $13 13h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY No 5¢ $11 15h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 18¢ $35 15h
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 16? BUY Yes 95¢ $0 15h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? BUY No 73¢ $4 15h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? BUY No 74¢ $4 15h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 16? BUY No 4¢ $1 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)+103.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 +161.7% +136.7% 78% 33% -4.9%
≤30d 70 +124.7% +103.3% 71% 34% -6.0%
≤90d 70 +124.7% +103.3% 71% 34% -6.0%
all 70 +124.7% +103.3% 71% 34% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover214.7 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +103.3% 34% -6.0%
10% +83.9% 19% -15.0%
15% ← realistic here +66.1% 16% -23.2%
20% +49.8% 14% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24,663.26 · official $24,670.46 (match) · 3500 history records