trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 11 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 36% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 36% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 27 | +3.6% | -6.2% | 52% | 7% | -7.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.2% | 7% | -7.4% |
| 10% | -15.2% | 7% | -16.2% |
| 15% | -23.4% | 7% | -24.3% |
| 20% | -30.9% | 0% | -31.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 91¢ | 91¢ | $45 | $45 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 03 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 03 | $53 | −$1 | -2% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 02 | $90 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 02 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 02 | $4 | $0 | -0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 01 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 31 | $88 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 29 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 28 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 28 | $40 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $2 | $0 | -9% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May? | May 07 | $2 | +$1 | +50% |
| Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 18–25? | Apr 22 | $84 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon buy TikTok? | Apr 21 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Susan Crawford win by 8-10%? | Apr 21 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 20 | $96 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? | Apr 02 | $97 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb | Apr 01 | $97 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | Mar 31 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25? | Mar 26 | $92 | +$4 | +4% |
| Will Elon tweet 300-324 times March 21-28? | Mar 25 | $90 | +$3 | +3% |
| Will Trump say "Crooked Joe" or "Sleepy Joe" during Digital Asset Summ | Mar 22 | $88 | +$2 | +3% |
| Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government? | Mar 20 | $87 | $0 | +0% |
| Holy Cross vs. Navy | Mar 04 | $59 | +$27 | +45% |