Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:38:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

38
0x3877…13c1
crypto · 1005 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$913 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$913 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$71
Realized−$913
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses964 / 98
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1062 / 1005
History coverage9d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day275.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1062 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$860
7 days−$937
14 days−$913
30 days−$913
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $50 $51 +$1 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$148
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $45 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $45 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $45 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $45 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 821 -8.3% -17.0% 89% 0% -12.2%
≤30d 1062 -6.6% -15.5% 91% 0% -11.5%
≤90d 1062 -6.6% -15.5% 91% 0% -11.5%
all 1062 -6.6% -15.5% 91% 0% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover275.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.5% 0% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.6% 0% -20.0%
15% -31.0% 0% -27.7%
20% -37.7% 0% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $71.23 · official $71.23 (match) · 3500 history records