trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -46.4% | -51.5% | 33% | 33% | -2.6% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -46.4% | -51.5% | 33% | 33% | -2.6% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -46.4% | -51.5% | 33% | 33% | -2.6% |
| all | 11 | +156.9% | +132.4% | 64% | 55% | -2.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +132.4% | 55% | -2.4% |
| 10% | +110.2% | 18% | -11.7% |
| 15% | +89.9% | 9% | -20.3% |
| 20% | +71.2% | 9% | -28.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | Jun 15 | $8 | −$8 | -94% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $31 | −$3 | -9% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $321 | +$35 | +11% |
| Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome? | Jun 14 | $211 | +$41 | +19% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 1PM ET | Oct 15 | $20 | +$6 | +30% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET | Oct 15 | $20 | +$6 | +28% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 15? | Oct 15 | $521 | +$21 | +4% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $210 on October 14? | Oct 13 | $50 | +$7 | +15% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | Oct 13 | $100 | +$16 | +16% |