Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:19:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

38
0x3833…33d1
sports · 375 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$390,117 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$390,539 · open +$421
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$54,949
Realized−$390,539
Unrealized+$421
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses195 / 382
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Est. fees paid−$44,209
Open positions7
Markets (closed)577 / 375
Avg bet$8,687
Trades / day76.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 7 History 577 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$837,248
7 days−$918,497
14 days−$985,601
30 days−$586,416
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ 66¢ $12,301 $16,443 +$4,142 (+34%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Vitality 53¢ 52¢ $8,444 $8,240 −$204 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 33¢ 32¢ $7,500 $7,386 −$114 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 32¢ 32¢ $7,500 $7,383 −$117 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 41¢ 38¢ $7,500 $6,860 −$640 (-9%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Adrian Mannarino 47¢ 100¢ $1,851 $3,939 +$2,087 (+113%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 35¢ 20¢ $5,250 $2,925 −$2,325 (-44%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 49¢ 42¢ $2,094 $1,773 −$320 (-15%)
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega Team Vitality 76¢ 0¢ $9,945 $0 −$9,945 (-100%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming 72¢ 0¢ $5,704 $0 −$5,704 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner DN SOOPers 39¢ 0¢ $6,545 $0 −$6,545 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Team Spirit 40¢ 0¢ $2,551 $0 −$2,551 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 82¢ 0¢ $4,799 $0 −$4,799 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Ekaterina Alexandrova 82¢ 0¢ $4,695 $0 −$4,695 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 55¢ 0¢ $13,750 $0 −$13,750 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 44¢ 0¢ $8,800 $0 −$8,800 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Daniel Altmaier 44¢ 0¢ $3,067 $0 −$3,067 (-100%)
Birmingham: James McCabe vs Kamil Majchrzak James McCabe 37¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Team Falcons 62¢ 0¢ $9,550 $0 −$9,550 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner Cloud9 67¢ 0¢ $4,617 $0 −$4,617 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 47¢ 0¢ $5,000 $0 −$5,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner FURIA 63¢ 0¢ $1,312 $0 −$1,312 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner Aurora 59¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Team Falcons 61¢ 0¢ $142 $0 −$142 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner LYON 18¢ 0¢ $900 $0 −$900 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega Jun 12 $9,945 −$9,945 -100%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5,704 −$5,704 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 12 $2,551 −$2,551 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $4,799 −$4,799 -100%
Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Jun 12 $3,067 −$3,067 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $9,550 −$9,550 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,617 −$4,617 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,312 −$1,312 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $142 −$142 -100%
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $900 −$900 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $6,531 −$6,531 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $6,639 −$6,639 -100%
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jun 12 $4,907 −$4,907 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,931 −$3,931 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,051 −$2,051 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5,700 −$5,700 -100%
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $8,550 −$8,550 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,684 −$4,684 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5,303 −$5,303 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,200 −$4,200 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $7,485 −$7,485 -100%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,660 −$2,660 -100%
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 12 $5,665 −$5,665 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 Jun 12 $3,576 −$3,576 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $6,900 −$6,900 -100%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stage Jun 12 $2,344 −$2,344 -100%
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Group Stage Jun 12 $2,413 −$2,413 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $7,035 −$7,035 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,937 −$2,937 -100%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $7,998 −$7,998 -100%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) Jun 12 $718 −$718 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Q Jun 12 $4,924 −$4,924 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A Jun 12 $4,998 −$4,998 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoff Jun 12 $2,498 −$2,498 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 12 $3,193 −$3,193 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $974 −$974 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $10,317 −$10,317 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $7,190 −$7,190 -100%
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,361 −$1,361 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 12 $6,091 −$6,091 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs Jun 12 $10,800 −$10,800 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $929 −$929 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $6,283 −$6,283 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B Jun 12 $8,338 −$8,338 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $8,779 −$8,779 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $6,671 −$6,671 -100%
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playof Jun 12 $9,545 −$9,545 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 12 $562 −$562 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5,529 −$5,529 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$427,596
other 0% −$3,902
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 49¢ $2,126 17m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $7,651 49m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 53¢ $8,564 50m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 32¢ $7,653 52m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 35¢ $5,352 53m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 41¢ $7,633 56m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $12,489 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 40¢ $10,528 16h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth BUY James Duckworth 26¢ $420 25h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech BUY Adrian Mannarino 47¢ $1 25h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech BUY Adrian Mannarino 47¢ $17 25h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech BUY Adrian Mannarino 47¢ $1,858 25h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech BUY Adrian Mannarino 47¢ $4 25h
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Rinky Hijikata 29¢ $1,247 25h
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY Global Esports 57¢ $1,299 38h
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 70¢ $70 43h
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 70¢ $7 43h
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 70¢ $137 43h
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 70¢ $10 43h
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 70¢ $3,366 43h
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 70¢ $188 43h
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 70¢ $43 44h
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 70¢ $114 44h
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 70¢ $629 44h
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 70¢ $2 44h
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 70¢ $468 44h
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 70¢ $525 44h
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 70¢ $120 44h
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 70¢ $16,796 44h
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo BUY XLG Gaming 71¢ $6,770 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-33.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 276 -80.1% -82.0% 10% 10% -67.3%
≤30d 523 -37.1% -43.1% 30% 30% -24.1%
≤90d 577 -26.2% -33.2% 34% 34% -18.6%
all 577 -26.2% -33.2% 34% 34% -18.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover76.5 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.2% 34% -18.6%
10% -39.6% 33% -26.4%
15% ← realistic here -45.5% 30% -33.5%
20% -50.8% 24% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $54,949.23 · official $48,045.52 · 3500 history records